COVID-19 US States Trends

These graphs work best on a computer. Phones, not so well. Phone users: check out the blog.

These graphs are interactive (and not very useful or intelligible if viewed without interacting). You can click-and-drag to zoom, single-click on a particular item to turn it on or off, or double-click to show just that item.

Severity

The following graph attempts to show broadly “how bad” the epidemic is in each state, based on daily cases. It does this by multiplying-daily-cases-per million (DCPM), by the week-over-week growth factor in new cases (DCPM and growth are graphed separately farther below). Over 100 is a “severity warmspot” (bad); over 200 is a “severity hotspot” (very bad). Here are the top 20 states:

And for all states:

Daily Cases

Daily Cases Per Million People

To really compare the numbers of different regions, we need to adjust for population. Hence “daily cases per million” (DCPM), which lets us see how relatively bad a region has it. I define a region as “warm” if DCPM is more than 100, and “hot” if DCPM is more than 200.

And for all states:

Daily Cases Growth

This next graph shows the daily growth of new cases each region. This allows to predict the direction a region is headed. When a line crosses zero headed downward, that region has turned the corner toward recovery.

And for all states: